Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 5.981716 6.947207 7.983129 9.173209 10.498416 11.924581 13.571163
2025-05-18 4.333520 5.580930 7.025141 8.804245 10.919519 13.336486 16.288391
2025-05-25 3.235725 4.601990 6.300966 8.530343 11.337093 14.710882 19.026315
2025-06-01 2.521031 3.941035 5.828411 8.449900 11.919360 16.273148 22.059703
2025-06-08 1.980307 3.396507 5.403071 8.341427 12.409931 17.713170 24.999246
2025-06-15 1.717298 3.191148 5.395590 8.767369 13.608616 20.110826 29.276524
2025-06-22 1.410085 2.853601 5.138276 8.791028 14.228710 21.748858 32.615062
2025-06-29 1.092737 2.430114 4.680421 8.450066 14.274647 22.571986 34.860834
2025-07-06 0.838201 2.057049 4.240167 8.070591 14.206856 23.198548 36.828476
2025-07-13 0.754397 1.988278 4.298514 8.484106 15.356113 25.618265 41.415056
2025-07-20 0.716248 2.003460 4.502896 9.149952 16.930187 28.722992 47.095269
2025-07-27 0.657072 1.960635 4.592351 9.620405 18.211299 31.434150 52.288824
2025-08-03 0.552475 1.796299 4.438264 9.664819 18.826615 33.200659 56.218027
2025-08-10 0.436825 1.573493 4.135184 9.408073 18.920130 34.162918 58.981058
2025-08-17 0.345976 1.385130 3.870732 9.190019 19.054691 35.183892 61.860139
2025-08-24 0.283700 1.254704 3.707849 9.144220 19.474973 36.665320 65.484480
2025-08-31 0.229477 1.128393 3.532026 9.050801 19.796866 37.991109 68.901089
2025-09-07 0.212339 1.117932 3.627615 9.517652 21.158735 41.076509 75.186172
2025-09-14 0.177150 1.030871 3.521396 9.550123 21.715388 42.834764 79.402098
2025-09-21 0.133134 0.888399 3.246982 9.190080 21.504989 43.280544 81.507745
2025-09-28 0.097212 0.755915 2.969441 8.786739 21.175057 43.494039 83.224794
2025-10-05 0.090455 0.754403 3.059548 9.229906 22.525787 46.672037 89.910551
2025-10-12 0.090677 0.788586 3.258648 9.941679 24.440987 50.894570 98.426452